A controversy exists on the value of upper thyrotropin (TSH) reference level. Currently
available studies are based on cross-sectional data leaving uncertainty about the
prognostic significance of the upper TSH reference level. With the present study we
sought to establish reference values for serum thyroid function tests that are of
both diagnostic and prognostic significance. We used data from the prospective population-based
Study of Health in Pomerania (SHIP) with a 5 year follow-up (6 080 person-years).
We included data from 1 203 subjects (525 women) without prevalent subclinical or
manifest thyroid disorders. An event-free reference population was separated comprising
1 053 subjects (473 women). When comparing reference values as analyzed from either
the whole reference population or the event-free reference population, we observed
notable differences in TSH reference intervals. While the lower TSH reference values
were similar in both populations, the upper value was 1.95 mIU/l and thus by 7.6%
lower in subjects without incident events compared to the whole reference population.
Both populations did not substantially differ with respect to serum FT3 and FT4 reference
intervals. The upper TSH reference value is lower than recommended when both diagnostic
and prognostic significance are considered in the definition of the TSH reference
range.
thyroid function - reference intervals - cohort study - Study of Health in Pomerania
(SHIP)